Class problem \( \# 10 \) proetice: Michael decided to enroll in a reading course that allegedly increases reading speed. Prior to enrolling in the class, Michael read 198 words per minute (wpm). The following data represent the words per minute read for 10 different passages read after the course: \[ 206 \quad 217 \quad 197 \quad 199 \quad 210 \quad 210 \quad 197 \quad 212 \quad 227 \quad 209 \] \( \begin{array}{l}\text { At the } \alpha=0.1 \text { level of significance, determine the P-value and use it to decide if the } \\ \text { class was effective. }\end{array} \)
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The Deep Dive
To determine if the class was effective in increasing Michael's reading speed, we can perform a hypothesis test. Our null hypothesis \( H_0 \) states that there is no increase in reading speed, meaning the population mean reading speed after the class is equal to or less than 198 wpm. The alternative hypothesis \( H_a \) asserts that the population mean is greater than 198 wpm. 1. **Calculate the sample mean and sample standard deviation:** - The words per minute (wpm) data is: \( 206, 217, 197, 199, 210, 210, 197, 212, 227, 209 \). - The sample mean \( \bar{x} = \frac{206 + 217 + 197 + 199 + 210 + 210 + 197 + 212 + 227 + 209}{10} = \frac{2094}{10} = 209.4 \). - The sample standard deviation \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \). 2. **Sum of squared deviations:** - Calculate \( (x_i - \bar{x})^2 \) for each observation: - \( (206 - 209.4)^2 = 11.56 \) - \( (217 - 209.4)^2 = 57.76 \) - \( (197 - 209.4)^2 = 156.76 \) - \( (199 - 209.4)^2 = 108.16 \) - \( (210 - 209.4)^2 = 0.36 \) - \( (210 - 209.4)^2 = 0.36 \) - \( (197 - 209.4)^2 = 156.76 \) - \( (212 - 209.4)^2 = 6.76 \) - \( (227 - 209.4)^2 = 306.76 \) - \( (209 - 209.4)^2 = 0.16 \) - Total = \( 11.56 + 57.76 + 156.76 + 108.16 + 0.36 + 0.36 + 156.76 + 6.76 + 306.76 + 0.16 = 499.4 \). - Now calculate the sample standard deviation: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{499.4}{9}} \approx 7.46 \] 3. **Calculate the t-statistic:** - The t-statistic is determined using: \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}} \] Here, \( \mu_0 = 198 \), \( n = 10 \). \[ t = \frac{209.4 - 198}{7.46 / \sqrt{10}} \approx \frac{11.4}{2.36} \approx 4.83 \] 4. **Determine the P-value:** - With \( n - 1 = 9 \) degrees of freedom, we can look up the t-distribution table or use technology to find the P-value for \( t = 4.83 \). The P-value will be very small. 5. **Decision:** - Compare the P-value to the significance level \( \alpha = 0.1 \): - If P-value < 0.1, we reject \( H_0 \). - Given the calculated t-statistic, the P-value is extremely small (close to 0), which is less than 0.1. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis. **Conclusion:** At the 0.1 level of significance, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the reading course was effective in increasing Michael's reading speed.