At a recent meeting at the American College of Asthma, Allergy, and Immunology, researchers reported that allergy vaccinations are effective in treating sinusitis (inflammation of the membrane lining the facial sinuses) in individuals predisposed to allergies. Specifically, the researchers reported that \( 98 \% \) of individuals predisposed to allergies find relief from their sinusitis after allergy vaccinations. Suppose that this number is accurate and that 120 individuals predisposed to allergies are chosen at random and given allergy vaccinations. Answer the following. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.) (a) Estimate the number of individuals in the random sample who do not find relief from their sinusitis by giving the mean of the relevant distribution (that is, the expectation of the relevant random variable). Do not round your response. (b) Quantify the uncertainty of your estimate by giving the standard deviation of the distribution. Round your response to at least three decimal places.
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To solve the problem, we need to consider a binomial distribution since individuals either find relief (success) or do not find relief (failure) from their sinusitis after receiving allergy vaccinations. (a) The probability of an individual finding relief from sinusitis is \( p = 0.98 \). Thus, the probability of an individual not finding relief is \( q = 1 - p = 0.02 \). In a sample of \( n = 120 \): The expected number of individuals not finding relief (mean of the distribution) is calculated as: \[ E(X) = n \cdot q = 120 \cdot 0.02 = 2.4 \] Thus, we estimate that **2.4 individuals** in the random sample do not find relief from their sinusitis. (b) The standard deviation of the distribution can be calculated using the formula for the standard deviation of a binomial distribution, which is given by: \[ \sigma = \sqrt{n \cdot p \cdot q} = \sqrt{120 \cdot 0.98 \cdot 0.02} \] Calculating this gives: \[ \sigma = \sqrt{120 \cdot 0.98 \cdot 0.02} = \sqrt{2.352} \approx 1.534 \] Rounding to three decimal places, the standard deviation is approximately **1.534**.