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(a) The rate at which a hen lays eggs of the time she lays at Poisson distribution, and \( 99.73 \% \) of least one egg each week. (i) Calculate an estimate for the average number of eggs the hen lays each week.

Ask by Barker Pena. in New Zealand
Nov 13,2024

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The estimated average number of eggs the hen lays each week is approximately 5.89.

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Beyond the Answer

To solve this, we can utilize the properties of the Poisson distribution, which is characterized by the parameter \( \lambda \), representing the average number of occurrences (eggs laid) in a fixed interval (one week). The requirement that \( 99.73\% \) of the time the hen lays at least one egg means that the cumulative distribution function \( P(X \geq 1) \) must equal \( 0.9973 \). We can find \( P(X \geq 1) \) as follows: \[ P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - e^{-\lambda} \] Setting this equal to \( 0.9973 \): \[ 1 - e^{-\lambda} = 0.9973 \] \[ e^{-\lambda} = 0.0027 \] Now, taking the natural logarithm of both sides to solve for \( \lambda \): \[ -\lambda = \ln(0.0027) \] \[ \lambda \approx -\ln(0.0027) \approx 5.896 \] Thus, an estimate for the average number of eggs that the hen lays each week is approximately \( 5.9 \) eggs.

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