Question
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A pharmaceutical company collects data on the side effects participants report for a drug it is testing. The company finds that the probability of experiencing a headache is 5 percent and the probability of experiencing both a headache and heartburn is 2 percent. If the probability of experiencing a headache or heartburn is 8 percent, what is the probability of experiencing heartburn? 1 percent 5 percent 11 percent 15 percent

Ask by Burton Carter. in the United States
Jan 22,2025

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Answer

The probability of experiencing heartburn is 5 percent.

Solution

To find the probability of experiencing heartburn (\( P(B) \)), we can use the principle of inclusion-exclusion for probabilities: \[ P(H \text{ or } B) = P(H) + P(B) - P(H \text{ and } B) \] Given: - \( P(H) = 5\% \) (probability of experiencing a headache) - \( P(H \text{ and } B) = 2\% \) (probability of experiencing both a headache and heartburn) - \( P(H \text{ or } B) = 8\% \) (probability of experiencing either a headache or heartburn) Plugging in the values: \[ 8\% = 5\% + P(B) - 2\% \] \[ 8\% = 3\% + P(B) \] \[ P(B) = 8\% - 3\% = 5\% \] **Answer:** 5 percent

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Bonus Knowledge

To find the probability of experiencing heartburn, we can use the formula for the probability of the union of two events: P(Headache or Heartburn) = P(Headache) + P(Heartburn) - P(Headache and Heartburn). We know that: - P(Headache) = 0.05 (5 percent), - P(Headache and Heartburn) = 0.02 (2 percent), - P(Headache or Heartburn) = 0.08 (8 percent). Plugging in the values, we have: 0.08 = 0.05 + P(Heartburn) - 0.02. Rearranging gives us: P(Heartburn) = 0.08 - 0.05 + 0.02 = 0.05 (or 5 percent). So, the probability of experiencing heartburn is 5 percent.

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