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EE. 3 Find probabilities using the normal distribution I SSW \( X \) is a normally distributed random variable with mean 28 and standard deviation 20 . What is the probability that \( X \) is greater than 88 ? Use the \( 0.68-0.95-0.997 \) rule and write your answer as a decimal. Round to the nearest thousandth if necessary.

Ask by Daniel Phillips. in the United States
Jan 24,2025

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The probability that \( X \) is greater than 88 is **0.002**.

Solution

To determine the probability that \( X \) is greater than 88 for a normally distributed random variable \( X \) with mean \( \mu = 28 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma = 20 \), we can use the **68-95-99.7 rule** (also known as the empirical rule). This rule provides a quick way to estimate probabilities for normal distributions. ### Steps: 1. **Calculate the Z-score:** The Z-score tells us how many standard deviations away 88 is from the mean. \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{88 - 28}{20} = \frac{60}{20} = 3 \] So, 88 is **3 standard deviations** above the mean. 2. **Apply the 68-95-99.7 Rule:** - **Within 1 standard deviation** (μ ± σ): ~68% - **Within 2 standard deviations** (μ ± 2σ): ~95% - **Within 3 standard deviations** (μ ± 3σ): ~99.7% This means that approximately **99.7%** of the data lies within 3 standard deviations of the mean. Therefore, the probability of \( X \) being **greater than** 3 standard deviations above the mean (i.e., \( X > 88 \)) is the remaining percentage in the upper tail. 3. **Calculate the Upper Tail Probability:** \[ P(X > 88) = \frac{1 - 0.997}{2} = \frac{0.003}{2} = 0.0015 \] Since probabilities must be expressed as decimals and rounded to the nearest thousandth: \[ 0.0015 \approx 0.002 \] ### Final Answer: The probability that \( X \) is greater than 88 is **0.002**.

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To find the probability that \( X \) is greater than 88, we first need to calculate the z-score for \( X = 88 \). The z-score is given by the formula: \[ z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma} \] where \( \mu = 28 \) (mean) and \( \sigma = 20 \) (standard deviation). Plugging the values in: \[ z = \frac{(88 - 28)}{20} = \frac{60}{20} = 3 \] Next, we use the z-score to find the corresponding probability. The z-score of 3 indicates that 88 is 3 standard deviations above the mean. According to the 0.68-0.95-0.997 rule, approximately 99.7% of the data falls within 3 standard deviations of the mean, meaning that only about 0.3% is beyond this point. Thus, the probability that \( X \) is greater than 88 can be represented as: \[ P(X > 88) \approx 0.003 \] Rounding to the nearest thousandth: \[ \boxed{0.003} \]

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