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55. Eight runners have equal chance of winning the race. What is the probability that a person wins the bet if he selects top 3 runners in the correct order? \( \begin{array}{llll}\text { a) } 5.61 \% & \text { b) } \frac{1}{336} & \text { c) } \frac{1}{112} & \text { d) None of these }\end{array} \)

Ask by Kelly Rowe. in Pakistan
Jan 11,2025

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Answer

The probability is \(\frac{1}{336}\).

Solution

To determine the probability that a person correctly selects the top 3 runners in the exact order out of 8 runners, we can follow these steps: 1. **Total Possible Outcomes:** - The number of ways to arrange 8 runners in the top 3 positions is given by the permutation formula: \[ P(n, k) = \frac{n!}{(n - k)!} \] where \( n = 8 \) (total runners) and \( k = 3 \) (positions). - Calculating: \[ P(8, 3) = \frac{8!}{(8 - 3)!} = \frac{8!}{5!} = 8 \times 7 \times 6 = 336 \] - So, there are **336** possible ordered outcomes for the top 3 positions. 2. **Favorable Outcome:** - There is **only 1** specific ordered combination that matches the bettor's selection exactly. 3. **Probability Calculation:** \[ \text{Probability} = \frac{\text{Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Possible Outcomes}} = \frac{1}{336} \] - Converting to a decimal: \[ \frac{1}{336} \approx 0.002976 \text{ or } 0.2976\% \] 4. **Comparing with Given Options:** - **Option a)** 5.61% — Incorrect. - **Option b)** \(\frac{1}{336}\) — **Correct**. - **Option c)** \(\frac{1}{112}\) — Incorrect. - **Option d)** None of these — Incorrect. **Answer:** **b) \(\frac{1}{336}\)**

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To find the probability that a person wins the bet by selecting the top 3 runners in the correct order from 8 runners, we first consider that there are \(8\) choices for the first position, \(7\) for the second, and \(6\) for the third. This means the total number of possible ordered selections for the top 3 runners is \(8 \times 7 \times 6 = 336\). Since there's only one winning combination for the selected runners, the probability of correctly choosing the top 3 in order is \( \frac{1}{336} \). So, the correct answer is \( \text{b) } \frac{1}{336} \). Fun Fact: Probability isn't just for math whizzes; it's used everywhere! Gamblers, game designers, and even your favorite sports analysts rely on probability to make informed predictions and strategies. Real-World Application: This could apply to betting scenarios not just in running, but also in various sports games or contests where the order of finish matters. Understanding probabilities helps bettors make smarter choices and can lead them to better strategies.

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