472) An unprepared student makes random guess for ten MCQs questions having 4 options, on a quiz. The probability of atleast one correct answer is: a) 0.9990 b) 0.99 c) 1 d) 0.9437
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To find the probability of at least one correct answer when a student guesses on 10 multiple-choice questions with 4 options each, we first calculate the probability of getting a question wrong. Since there is 1 correct answer out of 4 options, the probability of guessing wrong is \( \frac{3}{4} \). Therefore, the probability of getting all 10 questions wrong is \( \left( \frac{3}{4} \right)^{10} \). The probability of getting at least one correct answer is then \( 1 - \left( \frac{3}{4} \right)^{10} \), which is approximately 0.9437. So, the answer is (d) 0.9437. Now, understand that probability problems often use the concept of complementary events. Instead of counting the 'success' outcomes directly, sometimes it's easier to calculate how many ways you can fail (in this case, getting all answers wrong) and subtract that from the total certainty (which is 1). This makes it more manageable and often leads to clearer insights!