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© Would it be unusual to observe 170 smokers who started smoking before turning 18 years old in a random sample of 200 adult smokers?
A. Yes, because 170 is greater than .
B. Yes, because 170 is between and
C. No, because 170 is less than
D. Yes, because 170 is between and .
E. No, because 170 is between and .

Ask by Lowe Smith. in the United States
Nov 23,2024

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Answer

170 smokers who started before 18 is not unusual if it falls within and .

Solution

To determine whether observing 170 smokers who started smoking before turning 18 years old in a random sample of 200 adult smokers is unusual, we need to consider the context of the problem, specifically the mean ( ) and standard deviation ( ) of the distribution of adult smokers who started smoking before 18.
However, since the values of and are not provided in the question, we can analyze the options based on the general statistical principles regarding unusual observations.
  1. Unusual Observations: Typically, in statistics, an observation is considered unusual if it lies more than 2 standard deviations away from the mean (i.e., ).
  2. Sample Size: In this case, we have a sample size of 200. If we denote the proportion of smokers who started before 18 as , then the expected number of smokers who started before 18 in a sample of 200 would be .
  3. Calculating the Thresholds: If we assume that is the proportion of smokers who started before 18, then:
    • The mean number of smokers who started before 18 would be .
    • The standard deviation for a binomial distribution can be calculated as .
  4. Evaluating 170: To determine if 170 is unusual, we would check if it lies outside the range and .
Given the options:
  • A: Yes, because 170 is greater than . (This could be true if and are such that 170 exceeds the upper limit.)
  • B: Yes, because 170 is between and . (This is not a standard way to evaluate unusualness.)
  • C: No, because 170 is less than . (This is not a standard way to evaluate unusualness.)
  • D: Yes, because 170 is between and . (This is not a standard way to evaluate unusualness.)
  • E: No, because 170 is between and . (This is the correct interpretation if 170 falls within the usual range.)
Without specific values for and , we cannot definitively conclude. However, if we assume that 170 is indeed within the range of , then the correct answer would be:
E. No, because 170 is between and .
This indicates that observing 170 smokers who started smoking before 18 years old is not unusual.

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Extra Insights

In statistics, the normal distribution is often used to model data. Typically, values that fall outside of two standard deviations from the mean ( ) are considered unusual. This means if your sample of 200 adult smokers skews heavily towards one end, it might indicate a larger trend in the population. So, if 170 out of 200 smokers began before age 18, you’ll want to check against that distribution to see if such a finding is rare or tells us something about smoking patterns!
In real-world terms, understanding the age of onset for smoking can have significant implications for public health initiatives. If a large proportion of adult smokers started before 18, it indicates the need for targeted prevention efforts aimed at adolescents. This insight can help shape policies or programs that aim to reduce smoking rates among younger populations, highlighting the importance of monitoring these statistics in public health research.

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