Question
- A test paper consists of 40 questions. Each question is followed
by four choices of answer, where only one of these is correct.
(a) Salma answers all the questions by randomly choosing an
answer for each question.
by four choices of answer, where only one of these is correct.
(a) Salma answers all the questions by randomly choosing an
answer for each question.
Ask by Osborne Olson. in Malaysia
Mar 22,2025
Upstudy AI Solution
Tutor-Verified Answer
Answer
(a) Salma’s Answers by Random Guessing
- (i) Expected Number of Correct Answers: 10
- (ii) Standard Deviation: Approximately 2.74
(b) Basri’s Answers with 30 Fixed Correct Answers
- (i) Probability of Exactly 36 Correct Answers: Calculated using the binomial probability formula.
- (ii) Probability of At Least 32 Correct Answers: Calculated as
Solution
(a) Salma’s Answers by Random Guessing
-
Expected Number of Correct Answers
Each question has a probability of successSince there are 40 independent questions, the expected number is -
Standard Deviation
For a binomial distribution with parametersand , the variance is Thus, the standard deviation is
(b) Basri’s Answers with 30 Fixed Correct Answers
Basri answers 30 questions correctly for sure. For the remaining 10 questions, he guesses. Let
be the number of additional correct answers from these 10 questions. Here,
follows a binomial distribution with parameters
and
.
-
(i) Probability of Exactly 36 Correct AnswersTo have a total of 36 correct answers, Basri must score exactly 6 correct answers from the 10 guessed questions (since
). Therefore, the probability is given by -
(ii) Probability of At Least 32 Correct AnswersTo obtain at least 32 correct answers in total, Basri must get at least 2 correct answers from the 10 guessed questions (since
). Thus, we need Where:Therefore,
Final Answers
- (a-i)
- (a-ii)
- (b-i)
- (b-ii)
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Bonus Knowledge
When looking at probabilities in random guessing scenarios, it’s interesting to think about how the binomial distribution plays a role. In Salma’s situation, since she has a 1 in 4 chance of guessing correctly for each of the 40 questions, you can estimate that on average she’ll get about 10 correct answers (40 questions x 0.25 probability per question). That’s just plain ol’ probability at work, showing the balance between chance and choice!
Now, for Basri, answering correctly for the first 30 questions gives him a solid base! When considering the remaining 10 questions he guesses on, the beauty of the binomial distribution shines through. The calculations for the probability of getting exactly 36 correct involve combinatorics to determine how many ways he can choose the right answers from his guessing. Throw in BINOM.DIST in a spreadsheet or calculator, and you’ve got an efficient way to find your desired probabilities without all the fuss!