Question
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Donna has a deck of 10 cards numbered 1 through 10 . She is playing a gaime of chancev
This game is this: Donna chooses one card from the deck at random. She wints an amount of money equal to the value of the card if an odd numbered card i
drawn. She loses if an eveh nimbered card is drawh.
(a) Find the expected value of playing the game.
II dollars
(b) What can Donna expect in the long run, after playing the game many times?
(She replaces the card in the deck each time.)
Donna can expect to gain money.
She can expect to win dollars per draw.
Donna can expect to lose money.
She can expect to lose dollars per draw.
Donna can expect to break even (neither gain nor lose money).

Ask by Gibson Hobbs. in the United States
Mar 30,2025

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Tutor-Verified Answer

Answer

Donna can expect to win $0.80 per draw.

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The Deep Dive

To find the expected value of the game Donna is playing, let’s first identify the possible outcomes based on the cards she can draw:
  • The odd-numbered cards are 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9. There are 5 odd-numbered cards.
  • The even-numbered cards are 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10. There are also 5 even-numbered cards.
Now let’s calculate the expected value (EV).

(a) Expected Value Calculation

For odd-numbered cards:
  • The winnings for drawing odd cards are:
    • 1 (for card 1)
    • 3 (for card 3)
    • 5 (for card 5)
    • 7 (for card 7)
    • 9 (for card 9)
So, the total winnings for odd cards:
Since there are 5 odd cards, the average win for drawing an odd card is:
For even-numbered cards:
  • The loss for drawing even cards is .
The expected value of drawing a card can be calculated as follows:
  • Probability of drawing an odd card =
  • Probability of drawing an even card =
So,
Thus, the expected value of playing the game is dollars.

(b) Long-Term Expectation

In the long run, after playing the game many times, Donna can expect to gain money since the expected value of each draw is positive. Specifically, she can expect to win approximately dollars per draw. This means that for every game she plays, on average, she will accumulate winnings over time, making it a favorable game for her to play consistently.

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