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In a survey, 16 parents were asked how much they spent on their child's last birthday gift. The results were roughly bell-shaped with a mean of \( \$ 35 \) and standard deviation of \( \$ 16 \). Construct a confidence interval at a \( 98 \% \) confidence level to estimate the average amount that parents spent on their child's birthday gift. Give your answers to one decimal place.

Ask by Hamilton Perkins. in the United States
Jan 23,2025

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Answer

At a 98% confidence level, the average amount spent on birthday gifts is between \$24.6 and \$45.4.

Solution

To construct a 98% confidence interval for the average amount parents spent on their child's birthday gift, we'll follow these steps: 1. **Identify the Given Information:** - Sample size (\( n \)) = 16 - Sample mean (\( \bar{x} \)) = \$35 - Sample standard deviation (\( s \)) = \$16 - Confidence level = 98% 2. **Determine the Appropriate Distribution:** - Since the sample size is small (\( n < 30 \)) and the population is roughly bell-shaped, we use the **t-distribution**. - Degrees of freedom (\( df \)) = \( n - 1 = 15 \) 3. **Find the Critical t-Value:** - For a 98% confidence level and \( df = 15 \), the critical t-value (\( t_{0.99,15} \)) is approximately **2.602**. 4. **Calculate the Margin of Error (ME):** \[ ME = t \times \left( \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \right) = 2.602 \times \left( \frac{16}{\sqrt{16}} \right) = 2.602 \times 4 = 10.408 \] 5. **Construct the Confidence Interval:** \[ \text{Lower bound} = \bar{x} - ME = 35 - 10.4 = 24.6 \] \[ \text{Upper bound} = \bar{x} + ME = 35 + 10.4 = 45.4 \] 6. **Final Confidence Interval:** \[ \$24.6 \text{ to } \$45.4 \] **Therefore, the 98% confidence interval for the average amount spent is \$24.6 to \$45.4.** **Answer:** At 98 % confidence, the average spent is between \$ 24.6 and \$ 45.4

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The Deep Dive

To construct a confidence interval for the average amount spent on a child's birthday gift, we will use the formula for a confidence interval based on the sample mean and standard deviation. 1. **Calculate the standard error (SE)**: \[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{16}{\sqrt{16}} = \frac{16}{4} = 4 \] 2. **Find the critical value for a 98% confidence level**: The Z-score for a 98% confidence interval (using a Z-table) is approximately 2.33. 3. **Construct the confidence interval**: \[ \text{Margin of Error (ME)} = Z \times SE = 2.33 \times 4 = 9.32 \] \[ \text{Lower limit} = \text{mean} - ME = 35 - 9.32 = 25.68 \] \[ \text{Upper limit} = \text{mean} + ME = 35 + 9.32 = 44.32 \] Thus, the 98% confidence interval for the amount spent on a child's birthday gift is approximately \( (25.7, 44.3) \).

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