Question
upstudy study bank question image url

For a fundraiser, there is a raffle with 1,000 tickets. One ticket will win a \( \$ 290 \) prize, even tickets will win a \( \$ 230 \) prize, nine tickets will win a \( \$ 90 \) prize, and the rest will win othing. If you have a ticket, what is the expected payoff?

Ask by Willis Stephens. in the United States
Jan 23,2025

Real Tutor Solution

Tutor-Verified Answer

Answer

The expected payoff for a ticket is \$116.10.

Solution

To find the expected payoff for a ticket in the raffle, we need to calculate the expected value based on the probabilities of winning each prize and the corresponding amounts. ### Known Conditions: 1. Total tickets: \( N = 1000 \) 2. Prizes: - 1 ticket wins \( \$290 \) - 500 tickets (even tickets) win \( \$230 \) - 9 tickets win \( \$90 \) - The rest win nothing. ### Step-by-Step Calculation: 1. **Calculate the probabilities of winning each prize:** - Probability of winning \( \$290 \): \[ P(290) = \frac{1}{1000} \] - Probability of winning \( \$230 \): \[ P(230) = \frac{500}{1000} = \frac{1}{2} \] - Probability of winning \( \$90 \): \[ P(90) = \frac{9}{1000} \] - Probability of winning nothing: \[ P(0) = 1 - P(290) - P(230) - P(90) = 1 - \frac{1}{1000} - \frac{500}{1000} - \frac{9}{1000} = \frac{490}{1000} \] 2. **Calculate the expected value (EV):** The expected value is calculated as follows: \[ EV = (P(290) \times 290) + (P(230) \times 230) + (P(90) \times 90) + (P(0) \times 0) \] Substituting the probabilities and prizes: \[ EV = \left(\frac{1}{1000} \times 290\right) + \left(\frac{500}{1000} \times 230\right) + \left(\frac{9}{1000} \times 90\right) + \left(\frac{490}{1000} \times 0\right) \] 3. **Perform the calculations:** - For \( \$290 \): \[ \frac{1}{1000} \times 290 = 0.290 \] - For \( \$230 \): \[ \frac{500}{1000} \times 230 = 115 \] - For \( \$90 \): \[ \frac{9}{1000} \times 90 = 0.81 \] - For nothing: \[ \frac{490}{1000} \times 0 = 0 \] 4. **Sum the expected values:** \[ EV = 0.290 + 115 + 0.81 + 0 = 116.1 \] ### Final Answer: The expected payoff for a ticket in the raffle is \( \$116.10 \).

Reviewed and approved by the UpStudy tutoring team

error msg
Explain
Simplify this solution

Extra Insights

To determine the expected payoff for a single ticket, we first identify the prizes and their probabilities. There is 1 grand prize of \( \$290 \), 500 even tickets (2, 4, 6, etc.) each winning \( \$230 \), and 9 tickets winning \( \$90 \). Out of 1,000 tickets, that means 490 tickets win nothing. Now, we calculate the expected payoff: - **Grand Prize**: \( 1 \) ticket wins \( \$290 \) with a probability of \( \frac{1}{1000} \). - **Even Prize**: \( 500 \) tickets win \( \$230 \) with a probability of \( \frac{500}{1000} = \frac{1}{2} \). - **Minor Prizes**: \( 9 \) tickets win \( \$90 \) with a probability of \( \frac{9}{1000} \). - **No Prize**: \( 490 \) tickets win \( \$0 \) with a probability of \( \frac{490}{1000} \). Now, we calculate the contribution from each possible outcome: 1. **Grand Prize**: \( \frac{1}{1000} \times 290 = 0.29 \) 2. **Even Prize**: \( \frac{500}{1000} \times 230 = 115 \) 3. **Minor Prizes**: \( \frac{9}{1000} \times 90 = 0.81 \) 4. **No Prize**: \( \frac{490}{1000} \times 0 = 0 \) Adding these together gives the expected payoff: \[ E = 0.29 + 115 + 0.81 + 0 = 116.1 \] Thus, the expected payoff for one ticket is: **Expected Payoff = $116.1**

Related Questions

Latest Probability Questions

Try Premium now!
Try Premium and ask Thoth AI unlimited math questions now!
Maybe later Go Premium
Study can be a real struggle
Why not UpStudy it?
Select your plan below
Premium

You can enjoy

Start now
  • Step-by-step explanations
  • 24/7 expert live tutors
  • Unlimited number of questions
  • No interruptions
  • Full access to Answer and Solution
  • Full Access to PDF Chat, UpStudy Chat, Browsing Chat
Basic

Totally free but limited

  • Limited Solution
Welcome to UpStudy!
Please sign in to continue the Thoth AI Chat journey
Continue with Email
Or continue with
By clicking “Sign in”, you agree to our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy