For a fundraiser, there is a raffle with 1,000 tickets. One ticket will win a \( \$ 290 \) prize, even tickets will win a \( \$ 230 \) prize, nine tickets will win a \( \$ 90 \) prize, and the rest will win othing. If you have a ticket, what is the expected payoff?
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To determine the expected payoff for a single ticket, we first identify the prizes and their probabilities. There is 1 grand prize of \( \$290 \), 500 even tickets (2, 4, 6, etc.) each winning \( \$230 \), and 9 tickets winning \( \$90 \). Out of 1,000 tickets, that means 490 tickets win nothing. Now, we calculate the expected payoff: - **Grand Prize**: \( 1 \) ticket wins \( \$290 \) with a probability of \( \frac{1}{1000} \). - **Even Prize**: \( 500 \) tickets win \( \$230 \) with a probability of \( \frac{500}{1000} = \frac{1}{2} \). - **Minor Prizes**: \( 9 \) tickets win \( \$90 \) with a probability of \( \frac{9}{1000} \). - **No Prize**: \( 490 \) tickets win \( \$0 \) with a probability of \( \frac{490}{1000} \). Now, we calculate the contribution from each possible outcome: 1. **Grand Prize**: \( \frac{1}{1000} \times 290 = 0.29 \) 2. **Even Prize**: \( \frac{500}{1000} \times 230 = 115 \) 3. **Minor Prizes**: \( \frac{9}{1000} \times 90 = 0.81 \) 4. **No Prize**: \( \frac{490}{1000} \times 0 = 0 \) Adding these together gives the expected payoff: \[ E = 0.29 + 115 + 0.81 + 0 = 116.1 \] Thus, the expected payoff for one ticket is: **Expected Payoff = $116.1**