Harris Cook
05/13/2023 · Middle School

Diseases tend to spread according to the exponential growth model. In the early days of AIDS, the growth factor (i.e. growth multiplier not growth rate) was around 2.2. In 1983, about 2000 people in the U.S. died of AIDS. If the trend had continued unchecked, how many people would have died from AIDS in 2003? people (Note: once diseases become widespread, they start to behave more like logistic growth, but don't worry about that for the purpose of this exercise)

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Using the exponential growth model, if the trend had continued unchecked, approximately 2,097,152,320 people would have died from AIDS in 2003.

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