Pregunta
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The newspaper predicted that Abigail VanEmmerik would win the mayoral election over Jessie Calizo based on
questionnaires sent to owners of pianos and businesses. The prediction was incorrect. What are some likely errors
made by the newspaper?
Choose all the statements that apply.
A. The newspaper asked the wrong question.
B. The owners of pianos and businesses are not representative of the entire population.
C. The owners of pianos and businesses do not make up a random sample.
D. The newspaper misinterpreted the rēsults.

Ask by Garrett Delgado. in the United States
Mar 25,2025

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Responder

The newspaper likely made the following errors:
  • A. Asked the wrong question.
  • B. Sampled owners of pianos and businesses, which may not represent the entire population.
  • C. Did not use a random sample of the population.
  • D. Misinterpreted the results.
These mistakes probably led to the incorrect prediction of Abigail VanEmmerik winning the election.

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Beyond the Answer

The prediction could have gone awry primarily because the survey targeted a specific group—owners of pianos and businesses—rather than a diverse range of voters. This creates a skewed sample that doesn’t accurately reflect the entire electorate’s preferences, which is critical in elections where wider public sentiments are crucial for accurate predictions.
Moreover, if the newspaper relied solely on this narrow demographic, it might have overlooked significant variables that influence voting behavior, like socioeconomic status or local issues affecting different voter groups. Missing these dynamics can lead to flawed conclusions and misrepresentations of public opinion.

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