Which event is least likely to occur?
Answer
Rolling an even number or an odd number on a twelve-sided die,
numbered from 1 to 12 .
Spinning a spinner divided into five equal-sized sections colored
red/green/yellow/blue/purple and landing on blue or purple.
Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets, if you buy 18 tickets.
Reaching into a bag full of 20 strawberry chews and o cherry chews
without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.

To determine which event is least likely to occur, let’s look at the odds. When rolling a twelve-sided die, there are 6 even numbers (2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12) and 6 odd numbers (1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11), making both outcomes equally probable. For the spinner, landing on blue or purple involves 2 out of 5 options, giving you a 40% chance. In the raffle, you have 18 winning combinations out of 100, translating to an 18% chance. Finally, if you reach into a bag with 20 strawberry chews and 0 cherry chews, you’ll have a 100% chance of pulling out a strawberry chew, making the raffle the least likely!

But don’t be sad about losing a raffle; remember, it’s all in good fun and supports great causes! Plus, you’ll have stories to tell about “the one that almost won!” And also, if you happen to be in the strawberry chew section, just praise them on being so delightful — after all, you can’t go wrong with strawberry goodness!