Pregunta
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The PTO is selling raffle tickets to raise money for classroom supplies. A raffle ticket costs . There is 1 winning ticket out
of the 230 tickets sold. The winner gets a prize worth . Round your answers to the nearest cent.
What is the expected value (to you) of one raffle ticket?
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Ask by Murray Robbins. in the United States
Mar 26,2025

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The expected value of one raffle ticket is approximately $-3.96.

Solución

To find the expected value of one raffle ticket, we can use the formula for expected value, which is given by:
Where:
  • is the probability of winning,
  • is the value of winning,
  • is the probability of losing,
  • is the value of losing.

Step 1: Calculate the probabilities

  1. Probability of winning:
  2. Probability of losing:

Step 2: Determine the values

  1. Value of winning:
    The winner receives a prize worth , but since the ticket costs , the net gain from winning is:
  2. Value of losing:
    If you lose, you lose the cost of the ticket:

Step 3: Calculate the expected value

Now we can substitute these values into the expected value formula:
Let’s calculate this step by step.
  1. Calculate :
  2. Calculate :
  3. Combine the two results:
Now, let’s calculate to find the expected value.
Calculate the value by following steps:
  • step0: Calculate:
  • step1: Rewrite the fraction:

    The expected value of one raffle ticket is approximately .

Final Result

Thus, the expected value of one raffle ticket is approximately .
This means that, on average, you would lose about for each ticket purchased.

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Bonus Knowledge

When participating in a raffle like this, it’s essential to consider the odds against you. With only one winning ticket out of 230, the chances of winning are quite slim. This means that, generally speaking, most participants will contribute to the prize pool rather than claim a reward, which can be a fun way to support a cause but not a financially sound investment!
If you’re ever tempted to buy a ticket for a raffle, remember to keep your budget in check! It’s easy to get caught up in the excitement, but understanding the odds can help you make a smarter decision. Instead of focusing solely on the potential gain, consider contributing to your favorite cause in other ways that bring you joy—like donating directly or volunteering your time!

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